When I sat down to think about who might be able to beat Jimmie Johnson (and I wasn't going to pick JJ to win cause that's just boring) momentum was a really big thing for me. And no one was hotter at the end of the season then Carl Edwards. Cousin Carl won the final three races of the year.
Not to mention, Roush Fenway Racing is due. They have all the ingredients and Carl Edwards is the only driver in the group really who can win 6 to 9 races in a season. And that is what it is going to take to be Cup Champion. The only thing is, Carl is going to have the have a break through on some of the short track or road courses, maybe even win at one.